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Dear Readers,
The month of May is here and the investment adage of"Sell in May and Go Away" continues to haunt our fellow Msian investors. That maybe true if you look at the seasonal cycle of the US Market – SP500. The month of April for US SP500 is certainty true but it may not be the case for KLSE market.
In April 2011 month alone, our KLSE had a paltry -0.6% loss while our big daddy US DJIA has gained slightly +4.0% at the expense of lowering US dollars. The gain was due to the month end April 2011 meeting of all the Fed chief "Bubble" Bernanke to keep interest rates locked near zero percent for a very long time. Bear in mind that low interest rates regime is designed to gain upper hands for US dollar against other currencies, including the Chinese RMB, the Euro, the Swiss franc, and the Australian dollar.
Weak dollars wud only benefit the economy in the short run but this contributed to sharply higher oil prices, since oil is priced in US dollars. Oil is cheaper for buyers with foreign currency as the dollar falls in value. The US politicians believe that a strong and stable dollar is both in American interests and in the interests of the global economy. It is this kind of policy that give pains to average families that have to cope with higher food prices, petrol and raising inflation.
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Put the odds back to you,
Martin Wong
Trading Coach
Investmatic Management, SoHo, Ara Damansara, Selangor DE, Petaling Jaya 47301, Malaysia
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